Originally Posted by
ONEDUNME
To use a live example, the 105 at Sedgefield today, the three at the head of the market are all 3/1 with one firm or another. You often get races where this is the case and all but one of the others are considered no-hopers and in cases like that, you may be able to lay one of the three for around 7/2. As it is, this race is a bit more open and you would need to lay between 4/1 and 9/2 if you took an opinion on which of the three you thought least likely to win.
The other way to do it is to purely follow the market. For example, Mr Whitaker in the 215 at Sedgefield is currently 11/8 and drifting so some might look at the fact that you can lay it at just over 6/4 as a good bet because it looks like it may be that price or bigger when they go off (if it drifts badly, it may even present a possibility to back it back at higher than you've laid to have a free bet in the race). That race is a good example as, again, there are two others in the field that can give it a race (no word of a lie being the one that is being backed). Personally, I've gone for a 22/1 shot Torngat in that race so I have my own reason for hoping Mr W doesn't win lol.
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